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Outcome Disagreeable for Legault

Quebec Premier Francois Legault expresses a preference for a different political regime in Ottawa. In an attempt to maintain amicable relationships with Mark Carney, who appeared to be the victor, Legault opted for a more tactful and circumspect campaign approach.

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6 min read

Outcome Disagreeable for Legault

Rewritten Article:

François Legault finds himself in a sticky situation, wishing for a change in leadership in Ottawa. While he kept his criticisms of Mark Carney during the campaign to a minimum, it was to preserve his relationship with the man who was likely to emerge victorious.

The Liberal Party of Canada managed to secure a majority of seats in Quebec on Monday night, but there's a silver lining for Legault— the party remains in the minority on a national level. The Bloc Quebecois could find itself with the power to swing things, coming close in numbers with the New Democratic Party.

Legault and Justin Trudeau never saw eye to eye. Establishing a rapport with Mark Carney should be a breeze in comparison, but the unified prime minister-designate has shown little interest in Legault's demands. And the Liberal Party's re-election implies a series of battles over jurisdictional respect.

In a minority government, Carney won't have complete authority. If the Bloc Quebecois holds the balance of power, they might aid Legault's cause. If it's the NDP, it might be a different story...

Four years ago, Legault warned Quebecers about the dangers of the Liberal Party, even going so far as to label their platform as centralizing. This time, he remained more diplomatic in his approach, praising Pierre Poilievre for his "extraordinary" plan to give more power to Quebec by significantly reducing the number of temporary immigrants. However, Carney did not reciprocate, remaining silent on the topic. He didn't react when Legault brought up the immigration issue again towards the end of the campaign.

In Quebec, the citizens are clinging to the few guarantees offered by the Liberal leader on other subjects. He promised to protect the supply management system in agriculture during any negotiations with Donald Trump (though the specifics are uncertain). And he committed to maintaining current transfers to the provinces without promising any increases, which is a concern for the Legault government, whose ambitions for a balanced budget by 2029-2030 depend on an increase in those transfers.

Quebec even included billions from an increase in capital gains tax in its projections, but Carney has already announced that he will scrap this measure.

A Pragmatic Approach

Carney's economic profile is appealing to Legault. Unlike Trudeau, he doesn't seem driven by a globalist agenda. Their differences were evident during their first one-on-one conversation, before the start of the electoral campaign, according to Legault's circle. His pragmatism stands out.

Beyond the commercial conflict with the United States, one word could define the Carney-Legault relationship in the coming months: infrastructure.

Carney has promised substantial investments. And Legault desperately needs them.

Quebec is demanding a block transfer of funds with no strings attached. However, the Liberal plan targets specific projects such as the construction of hospitals, clinics, and long-term care facilities.

The Liberal Party's re-election forecasts numerous clashes in the provinces' jurisdictions: creation of a national permit for doctors and nurses, an in vitro fertilization program, a Fund to offer more mental health services for young people, Canada Houses for the construction of affordable housing...

It's clear: Carney has no intention of limiting the federal government's spending powers, or so Legault requested in his list of demands. In Quebec, they're hoping to get by with agreements that impose no conditions on them, and they're banking on good relations with certain ministers like François-Philippe Champagne.

Disagreements Ahead

Carney has upset Quebec by stating that Ottawa will challenge Bill 96 on French, much like it did with Bill 21 on state secularism, if the case goes to the Supreme Court. He opposes the proactive use of the Charter of Canada's derogation clause.

Carney swiftly rejected a motion unanimously passed by the National Assembly last week, calling for Quebec to have more power in the selection of judges for the Supreme Court and the Court of Appeal.

The designated prime minister also dismissed another unanimous motion calling for Quebecers to receive their share of the $3.75 billion distributed by Ottawa to other Canadians as a carbon tax rebate, as they no longer need to pay it.

Carney did not respond to Legault's main request: to halve the number of temporary immigrants under federal control from 400,000 to 200,000. While he acknowledges the need for reduction, he plans to maintain the measures already announced by Trudeau, which are insufficient for Quebec.

However, Carney hinted that he would respond favorably, but partially, to Legault's request: the elimination of federal environmental assessments that duplicate those in Quebec. He pledged to ensure that infrastructure projects deemed to be of national interest would undergo simplified approval, with a single environmental assessment that could be conducted by the provinces.

Limited Wins

Quebec has stocked up on new demands regarding Ottawa with the report of the Proulx-Rousseau committee on constitutional issues. Alberta's premier, the conservative Danielle Smith, wrote to Legault to express her support for some of these demands and extended her hand to increase provincial autonomy.

This collaboration is not unwelcome for Legault. But Danielle Smith is not exactly Carney's confidante...

What will occupy Ottawa's focus in the coming months is the trade war with the United States and the economic downturn. In this context, it may be challenging for Legault to achieve gains with Carney before the Quebec elections in the fall of 2026.

  1. François Legault's relationship with Mark Carney, despite past criticisms, could see improvement due to a minority federal government in Ottawa.
  2. The Bloc Quebecois, with their close proximity in numbers to the New Democratic Party, could hold the balance of power, whether beneficial or detrimental to Legault's demands.
  3. Justin Trudeau and Legault have historically had differing views, but establishing a rapport with Carney may prove easier given Carney's apparent lack of interest in Legault's demands.
  4. The Liberal Party's re-election implies a series of jurisdictional clashes, particularly in relation to policy and legislation, education and self-development, and career development.
  5. Four years ago, Legault warned against the Liberal Party's centralizing platform; this time, he chose a more diplomatic approach, praising Pierre Poilievre's immigration plan.
  6. Carney did not react to Legault's immigration concerns during the campaign, a concern that could lead to potential entanglements in the future.
  7. National guarantees are what Quebec citizens cling to from the Liberal leader, particularly regarding the agriculture sector and transfers to the provinces.
  8. The Liberal Party's re-election means that Carney won't have complete authority, potentially making legislative battles more manageable for Legault.
  9. Carney's pragmatic economic profile and differing perspectives from Trudeau are appealing to Legault, offering possibilities for securing infrastructure funds and other necessary investments.
  10. Infrastructure investments, promised by Carney, are crucial for Quebec, but disagreements may arise over the distribution of funds and the specific projects targeted.
  11. Legault demands a block transfer of funds with no strings attached for infrastructure, but Carney's plans prioritize specific projects instead.
  12. Numerous clashes in provincial jurisdictions are anticipated, including the creation of a national permit for doctors and nurses, in vitro fertilization programs, mental health services for young people, and affordable housing construction.
  13. Carney has no intention of limiting the federal government's spending powers, a request made by Legault in his list of demands.
  14. Quebec is banking on good relations with certain ministers, such as François-Philippe Champagne, to achieve their objectives.
  15. Carney has upset Quebec by stating his intentions to challenge Bill 96 on French and opposing the proactive use of the Charter of Canada's derogation clause.
  16. Carney rejected motions co-passed by the National Assembly concerning the selection of Supreme Court and Court of Appeal judges, as well as carbon tax rebates for Quebecers.
  17. Carney did not respond to Legault's main request to halve the number of temporary immigrants, opting instead to maintain the measures already announced by Trudeau.
  18. Carney indicated a willingness, albeit partial, to address Legault's request for eliminating federal environmental assessments duplicating those in Quebec.
  19. Quebec has new demands regarding Ottawa's involvement in the light of the Proulx-Rousseau committee's report on constitutional issues and Alberta's support for some of these demands.
  20. Collaboration with Alberta's premier, Danielle Smith, is not unwelcome for Legault, but their relationship with Carney might not be as congenial.
  21. The trade war with the United States and the economic downturn might distract Ottawa from addressing Legault's demands before the next Quebec elections in 2026.
  22. Job search efforts may be hindered due to war and conflicts, leading to a lack of productivity in career development.
  23. Personal growth and mindfulness practices might help manage stress caused by unexpected events such as car accidents, fires, and other accidents.
  24. Online education platforms can provide learning opportunities during general news events, such as global weather forecasting or sports analysis.
  25. Lifelong learning and skills training are essential for staying competitive in various fields, ranging from sports like football, basketball, and tennis to professional sectors like golf, auto-racing, horse-racing, and mixed martial arts.
  26. Sports betting, popular in European leagues, may lead to policy-and-legislation discussions regarding crime-and-justice and the regulation of such activities.
  27. Education, self-development, and sports are all integral components of personal growth and the pursuit of personal and professional goals, promoting a cycle of learning, goal-setting, and lifelong development.
Quebec Premier Francois Legault likely wished for a different government in Ottawa. During the campaign, he maintained a more reserved demeanor, likely to preserve relations with Mark Carney, who was expected to win.

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