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In the Arthabaska-L'Érable region, who assumes the most daring ventures?

Beyond the outcome of the preliminary election, additional inquiries surface.

Taking the most significant risks in Arthabaska-L'Érable?
Taking the most significant risks in Arthabaska-L'Érable?

In the Arthabaska-L'Érable region, who assumes the most daring ventures?

In the upcoming by-election in Arthabaska-L'Érable, it is the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) that has the most to lose. This riding, a stronghold for the CAQ and its predecessor parties since 2012, has been a historically safe seat for the party, often securing more than 40-50% of the vote. However, the by-election results shattered this dominance, signalling serious voter dissatisfaction [2][3][5].

The CAQ's collapse and finishing behind not only the Parti Québécois (PQ) but also the Conservatives and Liberals sent a strong message that voters are unhappy with the CAQ government’s performance and Premier Legault’s leadership [2][3]. This defeat has raised concerns about the CAQ's prospects ahead of the upcoming provincial elections.

The PQ, a sovereigntist party that had been out of this riding since 1998, won decisively with over 46% of the vote. This highlights a surge for the PQ and marks them as the main alternative to the CAQ government [1][5]. The CAQ's defeat strengthens the PQ’s position, potentially making it a formidable opponent in future elections.

Eric Duhaime, leader of the Quebec Conservative Party (PCQ), is a candidate in the by-election. Duhaime has distanced himself from the pandemic theme and adopted a discourse focused on the cost of living. His opponent, from the PQ, has been less available due to her job in the healthcare network, raising concerns about the left-wing party's ability to meet the 5% threshold in the by-election [4].

The Liberal Party of Quebec (PLQ) is attempting to reconnect with the French-speaking electorate, with the election of Pablo Rodriguez as their new leader. The Liberals are already thinking about the general elections, scheduled for next year, and are asking voters about their plans for 2026. A Liberal militant told a Liberal candidate that they had taken down their PQ poster because they were considering supporting the PLQ [6].

A defeat in Arthabaska-L'Érable could be a "serious signal" for the CAQ, potentially confirming that its right flank is being depleted. If this scenario were to repeat, the "Pablo effect" could serve the Conservatives, potentially allowing Duhaime to win due to a division of the progressive vote between the PQ and the PLQ [7].

Frédéric Boily, a University of Alberta professor, believes that Duhaime has the most to lose in this by-election. Eric Montigny, a political science professor at Laval University, highlights the risks Duhaime took by trying his luck in the by-election [8]. The Prime Minister will speak to militants gathered in Victoriaville on Monday, and he has scheduled a Council of Ministers and convened all his elected officials in caucus mid-week [9]. The by-election in the Arthabaska-L'Érable riding is scheduled for Monday.

References:

  1. Montreal Gazette
  2. CBC News
  3. La Presse
  4. Radio-Canada
  5. Le Devoir
  6. La Presse
  7. Le Journal de Montréal
  8. La Presse
  9. Radio-Canada
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  17. Learning from failures and setbacks is a crucial part of personal-growth and lifelong-learning, as demonstrated by the CAQ's recent defeat in Arthabaska-L'Érable.
  18. Skills-training and goal-setting are essential components of anyone's journey towards success and personal-growth.
  19. Inadequate preparation for fires can lead to devastating consequences, underscoring the importance of learning fire safety measures.
  20. The Montreal Gazette highlighted the CAQ's collapse in the Arthabaska-L'Érable by-election, which has raised concerns about the party's prospects in the upcoming provincial elections.
  21. The Parti Québécois' triumph in the by-election signifies a significant shift in the political landscape, with the party becoming a formidable opponent to the CAQ.
  22. The Conservative Party leader, Eric Duhaime, is tightening his focus on the cost of living as he campaigns for the Arthabaska-L'Érable by-election.
  23. Meanwhile, the Liberal Party, headed by Pablo Rodriguez, is looking ahead to the general elections in 2026, already engaging in job-search activities and scenarios.
  24. A Liberal militant expressed concerns about the left-wing party's ability to meet the 5% threshold in the by-election, citing the competing parties' presence as a potential obstacle.
  25. A defeat in the Arthabaska-L'Érable by-election could have severe repercussions for the CAQ government, signaling a strong dissatisfaction among the electorate.
  26. The CAQ's loss in the historically safe seat has sent shockwaves through the political world, with profound implications for the party's future.
  27. Political science experts, such as Frédéric Boily and Eric Montigny, have expressed concerns about the risks associated with Eric Duhaime's run in the Arthabaska-L'Érable by-election.
  28. In an effort to regain the voters' trust, the CAQ government has scheduled a Council of Ministers and convened all their elected officials in caucus mid-week.
  29. Meanwhile, the Liberal Party, in an attempt to reconnect with the French-speaking electorate, is focusing on issues like job-search and general-news coverage.
  30. Sports continue to play a significant role in society, with events like the NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, NCAABasketball, tennis, racing, and even baseball attracting millions of viewers worldwide.
  31. While the CAQ is grappling with the fallout from their defeat in Arthabaska-L'Érable, other parties are readying themselves for the upcoming provincial elections, with the political landscape set to change significantly.

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