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IAEA Finds Iran in Non-Compliance as Tensions Escalate

A divided IAEA board finds Iran in non-compliance. Israel prepares for war as international response remains uncertain.

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IAEA Finds Iran in Non-Compliance as Tensions Escalate

A slim majority of the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) Board of Governors has voted to find Iran in non-compliance with its nuclear obligations. The vote, with 19 in favour, 3 against, 11 abstaining, and 2 not voting, follows a contentious debate and complex geopolitical sensitivities surrounding Iran's nuclear program.

The resolution was supported by the United States, Britain, France, and five other UN Security Council members, while Russia, China, Algeria, and Pakistan voted in favour. Guyana and South Korea abstained. The reasons behind each country's vote remain unpublicised, likely due to delicate diplomatic strategies and ongoing tensions.

Israel interpreted the U.S.'s efforts to pass the resolution as a sign of U.S. support for its war plans against Iran. The U.S. reached out to eight board member governments to sway their votes. Iran, meanwhile, lodged a complaint against IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi for allegedly compromising the agency's impartiality.

The IAEA's investigation, which culminated in the resolution, was based on a 2018 Israeli intelligence report about three previously unreported sites in Iran. Grossi's handling of the investigation has been criticised, with some accusing him of allowing the IAEA to be used to manufacture a pretext for war. U.S. and Israeli politicians swiftly seized on the resolution to claim Iran was close to developing a nuclear weapon, although these claims remain unsubstantiated. Grossi has not addressed concerns that Israel's Mossad or its Iranian collaborators could have planted enriched uranium at the sites.

As the IAEA board voted, Israel began preparing its military forces, loading weapons, fuel, and drop-tanks onto its warplanes for a potential strike on Iran.

The IAEA's resolution has further escalated tensions around Iran's nuclear program. With a divided international response and unsubstantiated claims of Iran's nuclear capabilities, the path towards de-escalation remains uncertain. The UN Security Council and the international community will need to navigate these complex geopolitical waters carefully to prevent further conflict.

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