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Baden-Württemberg braces for dramatic shifts in school enrollment trends

A wave of young learners is reshaping classrooms across the region. Will schools keep up with the rising demand—and the looming staffing challenges?

in the picture there is a woman and a boy sitting on a chair,woman is standing a boy is writing on...
in the picture there is a woman and a boy sitting on a chair,woman is standing a boy is writing on a book which is on the table,this is a classroom.

Schools in Baden-Württemberg are facing significant changes in pupil numbers over the next decade. Primary schools have already seen a sharp increase, with nearly 40,000 more children enrolled than four years ago. Meanwhile, secondary schools are preparing for a surge as larger cohorts move up from primary education.

In the 2024/25 school year, Baden-Württemberg’s primary schools recorded around 419,100 pupils. This figure marks a substantial rise of almost 39,000 since 2020. The increase is partly due to new educational programmes, such as 'junior classes' for children with special needs, which have expanded official enrollment figures.

The changes in pupil numbers will shape Baden-Württemberg’s education system for years to come. Primary schools will see a peak followed by a decline, while secondary schools must prepare for sustained growth. These trends will influence staffing, resources, and school planning across the region.

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